Luzern II vs FC Basel II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.6%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
16.9%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzern II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
BIE
2 - 1
LUZ
18%
21%
61%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2023 |
KRI
2 - 2
LUZ
27%
22%
51%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
ETO
6 - 0
LUZ
36%
26%
39%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -2 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
LUZ
6 - 0
BAV
69%
18%
13%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
SCB
1 - 2
LUZ
36%
25%
40%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
FC Basel II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
BAS
1 - 2
BRE
45%
24%
32%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
BIE
1 - 3
BAS
32%
24%
44%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
BAS
0 - 5
BUL
66%
19%
16%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
BRE
1 - 3
BAS
53%
23%
24%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
BAS
1 - 1
ETO
35%
24%
41%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |