Luzern II vs FC Basel II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.6%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.4%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.1%
22%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
57.4%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.8%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzern II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2007 |
WAN
1 - 0
LUZ
48%
24%
28%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2007 |
LUZ
0 - 0
ZOF
42%
24%
34%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2007 |
YOU
3 - 0
LUZ
48%
24%
28%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | -2 |
| 02 Jun. 2007 |
LUZ
3 - 0
WAN
42%
23%
35%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2007 |
YOU
1 - 2
LUZ
53%
23%
24%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
FC Basel II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2007 |
ZOF
2 - 0
BAS
23%
23%
55%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2007 |
BAS
3 - 2
FCG
75%
15%
10%
|
61 | 44 | 17 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2007 |
MUN
2 - 4
BAS
18%
22%
60%
|
62 | 43 | 19 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2007 |
MUN
2 - 4
BAS
19%
22%
59%
|
63 | 44 | 19 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2007 |
BAS
1 - 2
LAU
80%
14%
7%
|
63 | 45 | 18 | 0 |