Luzern II vs Baden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.7%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
20%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
17.4%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzern II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2009 |
LUZ
3 - 2
OLT
71%
17%
13%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
BAS
1 - 0
LUZ
80%
13%
7%
|
40 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
LUZ
0 - 2
OLD
57%
21%
22%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | -2 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
FCG
2 - 0
LUZ
40%
25%
35%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | -2 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
LUZ
1 - 1
EMM
67%
19%
15%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Baden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2009 |
YFJ
2 - 1
BAD
50%
24%
27%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
BAD
0 - 1
ESC
52%
23%
25%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
TUG
1 - 0
BAD
62%
21%
18%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
BAD
3 - 0
STG
67%
19%
15%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
GRA
0 - 3
BAD
53%
22%
25%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +1 |