Luxembourg U19 vs England U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.1%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.9%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.4%
71.5%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.3%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.3%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.6%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luxembourg U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2014 |
BEL
4 - 0
LUX
77%
15%
7%
|
36 | 61 | 25 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2013 |
SMR
0 - 4
LUX
21%
22%
57%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
LUX
1 - 5
NOR
12%
17%
71%
|
35 | 60 | 25 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2013 |
POR
3 - 0
LUX
89%
8%
3%
|
36 | 69 | 33 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2012 |
LUX
0 - 1
MKD
40%
23%
37%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
England U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2014 |
ENG
3 - 0
BLR
79%
14%
7%
|
68 | 47 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2014 |
UKR
1 - 0
ENG
32%
24%
44%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2014 |
ENG
2 - 1
SCO
64%
20%
16%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
ENG
6 - 0
MNE
80%
14%
6%
|
67 | 46 | 21 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2013 |
ENG
1 - 0
SUI
63%
20%
17%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |