Luxembourg U21 vs Finland U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
51.7%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luxembourg U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2014 |
LUX
0 - 3
SCO
19%
22%
59%
|
25 | 59 | 34 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2014 |
NED
3 - 1
LUX
86%
11%
3%
|
25 | 77 | 52 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2014 |
GEO
0 - 3
LUX
77%
16%
8%
|
24 | 52 | 28 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2013 |
SVK
3 - 0
LUX
80%
15%
6%
|
24 | 61 | 37 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2013 |
LUX
0 - 1
NED
10%
20%
70%
|
24 | 78 | 54 | 0 |
Matches
Finland U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2015 |
FIN
3 - 0
KAZ
57%
23%
20%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
RSA
2 - 1
FIN
16%
23%
61%
|
56 | 24 | 32 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2015 |
KGZ
0 - 1
FIN
23%
24%
53%
|
56 | 34 | 22 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2015 |
BLR
1 - 0
FIN
47%
26%
27%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
FIN
1 - 1
TUK
80%
15%
6%
|
56 | 12 | 44 | 0 |