Luxemburgo U21 vs Alemania U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.9%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.1%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.1%
74%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
12%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.7%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.3%
0-4
5.9%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
8.5%
0-5
2.9%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.9%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luxemburgo U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2007 |
NIR
5 - 0
LUX
77%
15%
8%
|
23 | 50 | 27 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2007 |
LUX
0 - 2
MDA
25%
24%
51%
|
23 | 53 | 30 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2007 |
LUX
1 - 2
NIR
25%
24%
51%
|
24 | 51 | 27 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2007 |
ISR
3 - 0
LUX
74%
17%
10%
|
24 | 65 | 41 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2007 |
BEL
8 - 0
LUX
84%
11%
4%
|
24 | 72 | 48 | 0 |
Matches
Alemania U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2007 |
GER
3 - 0
ISL
78%
15%
7%
|
77 | 55 | 22 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2007 |
GER
3 - 0
MDA
75%
16%
9%
|
77 | 53 | 24 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2007 |
ISR
2 - 2
GER
26%
24%
50%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2007 |
SWE
1 - 2
GER
35%
25%
40%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2007 |
NIR
0 - 3
GER
16%
20%
64%
|
76 | 51 | 25 | 0 |