Luverdense vs Vila Nova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.5%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
20.4%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luverdense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2017 |
LUV
0 - 0
CRI
51%
25%
24%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2017 |
LON
3 - 1
LUV
43%
29%
28%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2017 |
LUV
1 - 1
CRB
50%
25%
24%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2017 |
PAY
1 - 1
LUV
40%
26%
35%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
JUV
2 - 1
LUV
23%
29%
48%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2017 |
VIL
3 - 1
GUA
46%
28%
27%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2017 |
ABC
1 - 0
VIL
45%
26%
29%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2017 |
VIL
0 - 0
JUV
55%
25%
20%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
BOA
0 - 1
VIL
37%
28%
35%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
GOI
1 - 0
VIL
61%
22%
17%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |