Luverdense vs Vila Nova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.7%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
20.2%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luverdense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
BRA
1 - 1
LUV
36%
30%
34%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2016 |
LUV
3 - 2
ATL
45%
27%
28%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
PAY
2 - 1
LUV
49%
27%
24%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2016 |
LUV
1 - 1
AVA
51%
25%
24%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2016 |
BRA
0 - 1
LUV
52%
26%
22%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
VIL
0 - 0
PAR
36%
28%
37%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2016 |
VIL
1 - 2
CRB
41%
28%
31%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
ATL
2 - 1
VIL
48%
27%
25%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2016 |
VIL
0 - 2
VAS
15%
26%
59%
|
62 | 81 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2016 |
NAU
3 - 2
VIL
56%
24%
20%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |