Luverdense vs Vila Aurora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.2%
9.8%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luverdense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2013 |
CEC
0 - 3
LUV
12%
18%
70%
|
60 | 38 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
LUV
2 - 2
CUI
57%
23%
21%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2012 |
LUV
1 - 0
CHA
29%
28%
44%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2012 |
CHA
3 - 0
LUV
63%
21%
16%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
LUV
0 - 2
TRE
63%
22%
15%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Vila Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2013 |
CUI
2 - 2
VIL
70%
19%
12%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
VIL
0 - 0
MIX
42%
26%
32%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2012 |
LUV
3 - 0
VIL
68%
20%
12%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2012 |
VIL
3 - 3
LUV
20%
23%
57%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2012 |
VIL
0 - 3
URO
34%
27%
39%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | -1 |