Luverdense vs Vila Aurora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.5%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.3%
10.3%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luverdense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2012 |
LUV
1 - 0
MIX
60%
21%
19%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
LUV
0 - 1
CUI
59%
22%
19%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2012 |
MGR
2 - 2
LUV
18%
21%
61%
|
59 | 33 | 26 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2012 |
LUV
4 - 1
SOR
66%
20%
15%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
LUV
1 - 1
RON
73%
17%
10%
|
59 | 40 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Vila Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2012 |
BAR
1 - 1
VIL
59%
23%
18%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
VIL
2 - 1
RON
44%
25%
31%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
URO
1 - 0
VIL
67%
20%
14%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2012 |
VIL
1 - 0
CRA
48%
25%
27%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
CUI
3 - 2
VIL
71%
18%
11%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | -1 |