Matogrossense Semi-finals
Global 6-3
Luverdense vs Vila Aurora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.1%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
12.3%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luverdense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2012 |
VIL
3 - 3
LUV
20%
23%
57%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2012 |
SOR
4 - 4
LUV
18%
23%
59%
|
58 | 43 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2012 |
LUV
3 - 1
MGR
76%
16%
8%
|
58 | 34 | 24 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2012 |
RON
2 - 4
LUV
24%
23%
54%
|
57 | 43 | 14 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2012 |
MIX
3 - 3
LUV
36%
25%
39%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Vila Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2012 |
VIL
3 - 3
LUV
20%
23%
57%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2012 |
VIL
0 - 3
URO
34%
27%
39%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2012 |
VIL
2 - 0
CUI
28%
26%
46%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
VIL
0 - 1
SOR
45%
25%
30%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2012 |
MGR
0 - 1
VIL
34%
26%
40%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | 0 |