Matogrossense Final Stages Quarter-finals
Global 3-2
Luverdense vs Nova Mutum analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
35.4%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luverdense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
NME
2 - 2
LUV
37%
26%
37%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
LUV
4 - 1
DBO
66%
20%
14%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
NME
0 - 1
LUV
39%
26%
36%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2024 |
LUV
3 - 2
ACA
55%
23%
22%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
PRI
0 - 3
LUV
14%
18%
69%
|
47 | 15 | 32 | 0 |
Matches
Nova Mutum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
NME
2 - 2
LUV
37%
26%
37%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
CUI
2 - 2
NME
92%
6%
1%
|
49 | 87 | 38 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
NME
0 - 1
LUV
39%
26%
36%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2024 |
LTD
1 - 2
NME
47%
24%
30%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
ACA
2 - 1
NME
18%
21%
61%
|
50 | 34 | 16 | -1 |