Matogrossense Semi-finals
Global 0-2
Luverdense vs Nova Mutum analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.2%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
25.6%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luverdense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2020 |
CUI
2 - 0
LUV
76%
16%
9%
|
52 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2020 |
LUV
0 - 2
CUI
17%
23%
60%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2020 |
LUV
3 - 0
MIX
74%
17%
9%
|
53 | 35 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
LTD
4 - 0
LUV
22%
21%
56%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
SIN
5 - 3
LUV
18%
23%
59%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Nova Mutum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2020 |
SIN
1 - 1
NME
16%
19%
65%
|
48 | 31 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2020 |
NME
1 - 0
SIN
69%
18%
13%
|
48 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2020 |
URO
0 - 0
NME
37%
23%
40%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
NME
1 - 1
SIN
49%
23%
28%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
NME
2 - 1
AAC
73%
16%
11%
|
48 | 26 | 22 | 0 |