Luverdense vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.3%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
20%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luverdense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2017 |
GUA
0 - 0
LUV
36%
29%
35%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2017 |
LUV
0 - 1
BOA
57%
25%
18%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
PAR
2 - 0
LUV
51%
27%
22%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2017 |
LUV
2 - 2
SCI
20%
27%
52%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
ABC
0 - 1
LUV
32%
29%
39%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
NAU
1 - 2
VIL
38%
28%
34%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2017 |
CRI
0 - 0
NAU
58%
23%
19%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
NAU
1 - 2
LON
30%
28%
42%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2017 |
NAU
1 - 3
PAY
44%
27%
29%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
SAN
2 - 3
NAU
56%
25%
20%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +1 |