Luverdense vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.9%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
31.5%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luverdense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
MOG
1 - 1
LUV
50%
26%
24%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2015 |
LUV
0 - 2
VIT
23%
28%
49%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
LUV
1 - 0
PAY
37%
27%
36%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
BOT
0 - 0
LUV
75%
18%
8%
|
61 | 78 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2015 |
BOA
2 - 1
LUV
45%
29%
26%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
NAU
3 - 1
BRA
51%
25%
24%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2015 |
BAH
1 - 1
NAU
66%
22%
13%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
CRB
1 - 0
NAU
41%
28%
32%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
NAU
1 - 1
MAC
46%
26%
29%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2015 |
PAR
2 - 0
NAU
44%
28%
28%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |