Luverdense vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.3%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
21.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luverdense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2014 |
LUV
3 - 1
POR
30%
28%
42%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
AVA
1 - 2
LUV
58%
24%
18%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2014 |
OES
2 - 1
LUV
37%
28%
35%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2014 |
LUV
0 - 2
ATL
41%
27%
32%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2014 |
LUV
3 - 1
ABC
43%
27%
30%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2014 |
NAU
0 - 1
VAS
17%
26%
57%
|
61 | 82 | 21 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
SAN
3 - 0
NAU
56%
24%
20%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2014 |
NAU
1 - 0
ICA
50%
26%
24%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2014 |
ATL
2 - 0
NAU
59%
23%
18%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2014 |
NAU
1 - 3
BOA
61%
23%
16%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | -2 |