Matogrossense Final Stages 3rd - 4rd place
Global 2-1
Luverdense vs Mixto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.4%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
10.7%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+63%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luverdense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
MIX
0 - 1
LUV
20%
23%
57%
|
49 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
CUI
4 - 3
LUV
84%
12%
4%
|
49 | 87 | 38 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
LUV
0 - 1
CUI
12%
23%
65%
|
49 | 87 | 38 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
LUV
1 - 0
NME
40%
25%
35%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
NME
2 - 2
LUV
37%
26%
37%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Mixto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
MIX
0 - 1
LUV
20%
23%
57%
|
35 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
URO
2 - 1
MIX
76%
16%
8%
|
35 | 55 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
MIX
0 - 1
URO
16%
22%
62%
|
36 | 55 | 19 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
LTD
2 - 3
MIX
72%
17%
10%
|
35 | 52 | 17 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
MIX
2 - 3
LTD
18%
23%
59%
|
36 | 51 | 15 | -1 |