Copa Verde Semi-finals
Global 1-2
Luverdense vs Itapemirim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.5%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
18%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
13.5%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luverdense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
LUV
0 - 0
SIN
74%
17%
9%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2018 |
LUV
3 - 0
MIX
80%
14%
6%
|
65 | 40 | 25 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
LUV
7 - 0
SDS
78%
15%
7%
|
65 | 39 | 26 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2018 |
MIX
1 - 3
LUV
17%
23%
60%
|
65 | 41 | 24 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
SIN
1 - 0
LUV
15%
22%
62%
|
66 | 50 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Itapemirim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
ITA
3 - 1
CUI
19%
22%
59%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
REA
2 - 2
ITA
42%
24%
34%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2018 |
CUI
2 - 3
ITA
70%
18%
12%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
ITA
1 - 0
ESP
51%
24%
26%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
ITA
4 - 1
DOZ
67%
19%
14%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |