Matogrossense Final
Global 3-3
Luverdense vs Dom Bosco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.5%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
17.3%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luverdense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2020 |
NME
2 - 0
LUV
32%
23%
45%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
LUV
0 - 0
NME
52%
22%
26%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2020 |
CUI
2 - 0
LUV
76%
16%
9%
|
52 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2020 |
LUV
0 - 2
CUI
17%
23%
60%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2020 |
LUV
3 - 0
MIX
74%
17%
9%
|
53 | 35 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Dom Bosco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2020 |
URO
1 - 0
DBO
43%
24%
33%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2020 |
DBO
0 - 0
URO
49%
23%
28%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2020 |
LTD
2 - 1
DBO
43%
24%
34%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2020 |
DBO
1 - 0
LTD
47%
23%
30%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2020 |
DBO
1 - 5
CUI
11%
18%
71%
|
41 | 66 | 25 | 0 |