Luverdense vs Cuiabá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.3%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
19.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luverdense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2012 |
MGR
2 - 2
LUV
18%
21%
61%
|
59 | 33 | 26 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2012 |
LUV
4 - 1
SOR
66%
20%
15%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
LUV
1 - 1
RON
73%
17%
10%
|
59 | 40 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2012 |
CRA
0 - 0
LUV
21%
22%
57%
|
59 | 40 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
LUV
1 - 0
BAR
63%
21%
17%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Cuiabá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2012 |
CUI
0 - 1
MIX
58%
21%
21%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
SOR
0 - 1
CUI
28%
24%
48%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2012 |
CUI
2 - 0
MGR
78%
14%
8%
|
51 | 34 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
CUI
3 - 2
VIL
71%
18%
11%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2012 |
RON
1 - 2
CUI
29%
23%
47%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | +1 |