Luverdense vs CRAC MT analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.5%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.2%
12.2%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luverdense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
SOR
1 - 0
LUV
21%
23%
56%
|
53 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
LUV
3 - 1
MIX
54%
23%
24%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2009 |
LUV
1 - 0
OPE
54%
23%
23%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
MGR
2 - 0
LUV
19%
21%
61%
|
52 | 25 | 27 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2009 |
CRA
3 - 2
LUV
25%
23%
53%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
CRAC MT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
TAN
0 - 2
CRA
34%
25%
41%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
CRA
1 - 3
SOR
58%
21%
21%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2009 |
CRA
4 - 1
MGR
68%
18%
14%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
SIN
1 - 0
CRA
38%
25%
37%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2009 |
CRA
3 - 2
LUV
25%
23%
53%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | +1 |