Luverdense vs Coritiba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.2%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
6%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.3%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
59%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
11%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.7%
0-4
3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luverdense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2010 |
SIN
1 - 1
LUV
19%
22%
59%
|
59 | 38 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
LUV
0 - 0
CUI
59%
22%
19%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
LUV
3 - 0
CAC
78%
15%
8%
|
59 | 21 | 38 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
SOR
0 - 0
LUV
20%
22%
58%
|
60 | 40 | 20 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
LUV
1 - 1
OPE
64%
20%
15%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
COT
0 - 1
PAR
64%
22%
15%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2010 |
ACP
1 - 1
COT
12%
20%
69%
|
79 | 49 | 30 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
COT
3 - 1
IRA
74%
18%
8%
|
79 | 54 | 25 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2010 |
OPE
0 - 1
COT
14%
20%
66%
|
79 | 57 | 22 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
COT
3 - 1
TCW
78%
16%
6%
|
79 | 55 | 24 | 0 |