Série C Brazil Quarter-finals
Global 4-1
Luverdense vs Caxias do Sul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.4%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
24%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
18.5%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luverdense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
CAX
1 - 2
LUV
38%
28%
34%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
LUV
3 - 0
AGU
67%
20%
13%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
BAR
0 - 1
LUV
18%
25%
57%
|
63 | 45 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
FOR
2 - 1
LUV
46%
26%
28%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2013 |
LUV
2 - 2
CRB
54%
25%
21%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
CAX
1 - 2
LUV
38%
28%
34%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
DUQ
1 - 0
CAX
35%
28%
38%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
CAX
1 - 1
GRÊ
62%
22%
16%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
CAX
2 - 1
VIL
50%
26%
24%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
MAD
1 - 1
CAX
39%
28%
33%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |