Luverdense vs Aguia de Maraba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.5%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
27.9%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luverdense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2009 |
RIO
3 - 0
LUV
50%
24%
27%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
AAC
0 - 0
LUV
38%
24%
39%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | +2 |
| 14 May. 2009 |
LUV
2 - 2
AAC
55%
23%
23%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
LUV
2 - 0
VIL
51%
24%
25%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2009 |
VIL
1 - 1
LUV
38%
25%
38%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Aguia de Maraba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2009 |
SAM
2 - 3
AGU
38%
27%
35%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
AGU
1 - 0
RIO
37%
25%
37%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2009 |
FLU
3 - 0
AGU
84%
12%
4%
|
50 | 83 | 33 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2009 |
AGU
2 - 1
FLU
9%
18%
73%
|
49 | 83 | 34 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
REC
3 - 2
AGU
59%
22%
19%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -1 |