Lutterworth Town vs Northampton ON Chenecks analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
89.9%
Win probability
3.43
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.1%
7-0
2.1%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.6%
6-0
4.3%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
5.6%
5-0
7.6%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
10.2%
4-0
11%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15.7%
3-0
12.9%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.8%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.6%
7.3%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
3.5%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
7.3%
2.8%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2.2%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lutterworth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2021 |
LUT
2 - 3
LER
16%
19%
65%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2021 |
COV
3 - 0
LUT
55%
21%
25%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
PNS
4 - 6
LUT
8%
14%
79%
|
22 | 9 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
LUT
6 - 0
EAS
74%
15%
11%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
ROT
2 - 5
LUT
14%
18%
68%
|
20 | 12 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Northampton ON Chenecks
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2021 |
ROT
2 - 2
NOC
57%
20%
23%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
NOC
0 - 5
GOD
15%
18%
67%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2021 |
COV
3 - 0
NOC
89%
8%
3%
|
10 | 28 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
HAR
5 - 0
NOC
89%
8%
3%
|
10 | 33 | 23 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2021 |
NOC
0 - 4
EAS
26%
22%
52%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | -1 |