FA Cup Previa 1
Global 1-3
Lutterworth Town vs Newark Flowserve analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.5%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
48.2%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.4%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
3%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lutterworth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
NEF
0 - 0
LUT
58%
20%
23%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2021 |
RUG
1 - 1
LUT
63%
19%
18%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
LUT
0 - 6
LOU
22%
20%
58%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2020 |
LUT
2 - 0
STA
39%
22%
39%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
LUT
0 - 3
HED
13%
16%
71%
|
20 | 41 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
Newark Flowserve
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
NEF
0 - 0
LUT
58%
20%
23%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2021 |
NEF
3 - 1
ECF
89%
8%
3%
|
23 | 10 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
MIC
4 - 1
NEF
54%
21%
25%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2020 |
RUS
0 - 5
NEF
69%
17%
14%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | +2 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
MAL
0 - 4
NEF
43%
22%
35%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | +1 |