Lutterworth Town vs Cogenhoe United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.7%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.9%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.7%
11.7%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lutterworth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2022 |
HAR
6 - 0
LUT
83%
11%
6%
|
22 | 40 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
GOD
1 - 3
LUT
26%
21%
53%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
LUT
1 - 2
NEW
41%
22%
37%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
BIG
2 - 4
LUT
10%
15%
75%
|
22 | 11 | 11 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
POT
0 - 2
LUT
21%
20%
58%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Cogenhoe United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2022 |
COG
1 - 3
NOC
57%
21%
22%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
COG
3 - 4
LON
52%
21%
26%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
OAD
1 - 1
COG
22%
21%
57%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
COG
1 - 2
GOD
55%
21%
24%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2022 |
COG
2 - 2
BUG
48%
22%
30%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |