Lutterworth Town vs Bugbrooke St Michaels analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.4%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.5%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
53.1%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
16.1%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lutterworth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
LON
0 - 3
LUT
13%
15%
72%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
LUT
0 - 1
EYN
65%
18%
17%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
MKI
5 - 1
LUT
67%
17%
16%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
LUT
1 - 2
DES
35%
22%
43%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2023 |
COV
0 - 6
LUT
86%
10%
5%
|
13 | 28 | 15 | +4 |
Matches
Bugbrooke St Michaels
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
BUG
0 - 1
COG
59%
20%
22%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
BUG
2 - 1
LON
86%
9%
5%
|
21 | 11 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
OAD
0 - 1
BUG
27%
22%
51%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | +2 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
WEL
0 - 1
BUG
82%
12%
7%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
BUG
3 - 2
EYN
52%
21%
27%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | +2 |