Lutlommel vs Merksem analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.7%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
28.1%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lutlommel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
ZWA
1 - 0
LUT
54%
22%
25%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
LUT
1 - 1
HAD
23%
24%
53%
|
33 | 48 | 15 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
WIT
0 - 3
LUT
65%
19%
16%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | +3 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
LUT
1 - 3
SIN
76%
15%
10%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
LUT
2 - 2
SPO
26%
23%
51%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Merksem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
MER
3 - 1
SPO
29%
24%
48%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
OVE
1 - 1
MER
58%
21%
21%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
MER
1 - 0
LYR
29%
24%
47%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | +2 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
SIN
1 - 3
MER
79%
13%
8%
|
27 | 43 | 16 | +1 |