Lusitanos vs Principat analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
25.8%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitanos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2002 |
LUS
0 - 9
SJU
33%
25%
42%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2002 |
SES
0 - 15
LUS
26%
23%
51%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | +2 |
| 03 Mar. 2002 |
LUS
1 - 2
FCE
31%
25%
44%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2002 |
LUS
3 - 3
FCR
55%
23%
23%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2002 |
SES
0 - 0
LUS
27%
23%
50%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Principat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2002 |
PRI
2 - 2
FCR
59%
21%
20%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2002 |
PRI
1 - 2
SJU
32%
24%
43%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2002 |
FCE
2 - 1
PRI
71%
17%
12%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2002 |
PRI
5 - 0
SES
66%
19%
16%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | +2 |
| 24 Feb. 2002 |
INT
0 - 1
PRI
56%
21%
22%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |