Lusitano VRSA vs União Montemor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.4%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.9%
8.7%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitano VRSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
SES
3 - 1
LUS
16%
22%
63%
|
55 | 29 | 26 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
LUS
2 - 2
VAS
80%
14%
6%
|
55 | 27 | 28 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
ALJ
1 - 0
LUS
14%
22%
64%
|
55 | 30 | 25 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
LUS
1 - 1
LAG
76%
16%
8%
|
56 | 38 | 18 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
ATL
1 - 1
LUS
19%
23%
58%
|
56 | 38 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
União Montemor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
JUV
0 - 2
UNI
51%
24%
25%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
UNI
2 - 2
SES
67%
19%
15%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
UNI
6 - 0
LAG
72%
17%
11%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
VAS
1 - 3
UNI
36%
25%
39%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
UNI
7 - 0
MON
76%
15%
9%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | 0 |