Lusitano VRSA vs Sporting CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
4.9%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.5%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1%
1-0
1.4%
2-1
1.6%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
3.7%
9.8%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.8%
85.2%
Win probability
3.2
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.6%
0-3
11%
1-4
6.2%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
18.8%
0-4
8.8%
1-5
4%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
-4
13.6%
0-5
5.7%
1-6
2.1%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
8.1%
0-6
3%
1-7
1%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
4.1%
0-7
1.4%
1-8
0.4%
2-9
0%
-7
1.8%
0-8
0.6%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.7%
0-9
0.2%
1-10
0%
-9
0.2%
0-10
0.1%
-10
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitano VRSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 1948 |
ATL
3 - 1
LUS
85%
10%
6%
|
58 | 75 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1948 |
LUS
0 - 1
VIT
45%
23%
33%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1948 |
LUS
0 - 1
FCP
15%
17%
69%
|
59 | 82 | 23 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 1948 |
VST
2 - 0
LUS
72%
15%
13%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1948 |
LUS
5 - 1
ACA
54%
19%
27%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 1948 |
SCP
5 - 2
FCP
79%
12%
10%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1948 |
VST
1 - 0
SCP
16%
17%
66%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1948 |
SCP
6 - 1
ACA
88%
7%
5%
|
88 | 54 | 34 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1948 |
SLB
1 - 4
SCP
56%
18%
26%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1948 |
SCP
4 - 4
BEL
72%
15%
13%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |