Lusitano VRSA vs SC Covilha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.9%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
37.2%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitano VRSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 1949 |
FCP
8 - 2
LUS
90%
6%
4%
|
58 | 82 | 24 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1949 |
LUS
2 - 2
VST
38%
24%
39%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1949 |
SCP
3 - 1
LUS
96%
3%
1%
|
58 | 88 | 30 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1949 |
LUS
0 - 1
ATL
38%
24%
39%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1949 |
OLH
1 - 0
LUS
84%
10%
7%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 1949 |
SPC
5 - 2
VIT
58%
19%
23%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1949 |
OEL
2 - 2
SPC
63%
17%
19%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 1949 |
SPC
2 - 2
ACA
76%
13%
11%
|
68 | 52 | 16 | -1 |
| 29 May. 1949 |
SPC
0 - 1
ATL
48%
20%
32%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1949 |
SPC
3 - 1
SPB
50%
19%
30%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | +1 |