Lusitano VRSA vs Sporting Braga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.6%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.7%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
37.4%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitano VRSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 1949 |
FCP
3 - 0
LUS
90%
6%
4%
|
59 | 81 | 22 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1949 |
LUS
1 - 0
BOA
49%
22%
30%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 1949 |
SPC
3 - 0
LUS
67%
17%
16%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 1949 |
LUS
2 - 1
OEL
39%
24%
38%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 1949 |
VST
2 - 1
LUS
69%
17%
14%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 1949 |
SPB
4 - 2
BOA
70%
16%
14%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1949 |
OEL
4 - 1
SPB
61%
18%
21%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1949 |
SPB
2 - 1
EST
24%
20%
56%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1949 |
SCP
4 - 0
SPB
91%
6%
3%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1949 |
SPB
2 - 1
ATL
50%
21%
29%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | +1 |