Lusitano VRSA vs Olhanense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.4%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
7%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.7%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
55.1%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitano VRSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
IDE
4 - 0
LUS
46%
25%
30%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
ORI
1 - 2
LUS
65%
20%
15%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
LUS
2 - 0
EVN
48%
22%
30%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
CAS
3 - 1
LUS
74%
17%
10%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
PIN
4 - 0
LUS
39%
25%
36%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Olhanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
OLH
1 - 0
LOU
62%
22%
17%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
OLH
3 - 1
ALM
69%
20%
11%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
IDE
0 - 0
OLH
23%
25%
53%
|
51 | 40 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
OLH
2 - 0
ALM
70%
19%
11%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
OLH
3 - 1
PEN
23%
26%
51%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | 0 |