Lusitano VRSA vs Praiense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.7%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
27.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitano VRSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
ALJ
3 - 3
LUS
33%
24%
43%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
LUS
3 - 1
ANG
37%
25%
38%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | +2 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
MOU
1 - 0
LUS
52%
23%
25%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
LUS
0 - 0
ATL
59%
21%
20%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
ANG
3 - 0
LUS
55%
23%
22%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Praiense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
PRA
2 - 1
QUA
57%
22%
21%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
FER
2 - 0
PRA
37%
24%
39%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
ALJ
2 - 1
PRA
32%
24%
45%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
PRA
3 - 1
ANG
33%
25%
42%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | +2 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
PRA
0 - 1
LOU
37%
27%
36%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | -1 |