Lusitano VRSA vs Praiense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
39.3%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitano VRSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
LUS
1 - 0
QUA
54%
22%
24%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
LUS
2 - 2
ANG
39%
25%
36%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2014 |
LUS
2 - 1
OPE
23%
24%
53%
|
35 | 51 | 16 | +3 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
ATL
1 - 2
LUS
57%
21%
22%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
LUS
2 - 1
FER
25%
24%
51%
|
31 | 45 | 14 | +3 |
Matches
Praiense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
PRA
2 - 0
MOU
40%
26%
34%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
LOU
3 - 0
PRA
44%
25%
31%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
PRA
1 - 0
ALJ
74%
16%
10%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
OPE
5 - 1
PRA
52%
24%
24%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
PRA
4 - 1
LUS
68%
19%
13%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | 0 |