Lusitano VRSA vs Pinhalnovense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.3%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
28.5%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitano VRSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
ARM
0 - 1
LUS
9%
14%
76%
|
40 | 19 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
LUS
4 - 0
ALJ
63%
20%
16%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
ALM
1 - 0
LUS
47%
23%
29%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
VIA
3 - 3
LUS
28%
21%
50%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
LUS
1 - 0
FAB
68%
19%
14%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Pinhalnovense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
PIN
2 - 3
FAB
63%
21%
16%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
MOU
0 - 0
PIN
43%
27%
31%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
PIN
1 - 0
LOU
43%
26%
31%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | +2 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
FAR
0 - 1
PIN
74%
17%
9%
|
41 | 56 | 15 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
PIN
1 - 2
VIA
69%
17%
14%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | -1 |