Lusitano VRSA vs Pinhalnovense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.8%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
47%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitano VRSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
FCB
2 - 1
LUS
56%
23%
22%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
JUV
1 - 1
LUS
40%
25%
35%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
LUS
0 - 2
ALM
39%
24%
37%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | -2 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
FCC
3 - 1
LUS
36%
23%
40%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
LOU
3 - 1
LUS
58%
23%
20%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Pinhalnovense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
PIN
3 - 1
LOU
40%
27%
32%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
PIN
2 - 1
ATL
55%
25%
20%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
FCC
2 - 2
PIN
33%
24%
44%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
FCB
0 - 2
PIN
50%
25%
25%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | +2 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
PIN
1 - 1
JUV
60%
22%
19%
|
41 | 29 | 12 | -1 |