Lusitano VRSA vs Operário analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.9%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
52.9%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitano VRSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
ATL
1 - 2
LUS
57%
21%
22%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
LUS
2 - 1
FER
25%
24%
51%
|
31 | 45 | 14 | +3 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
PRA
4 - 1
LUS
68%
19%
13%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
LUS
0 - 4
LOU
36%
27%
37%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | -2 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
ALJ
2 - 0
LUS
28%
23%
49%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
Operário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
FER
1 - 2
OPE
34%
26%
41%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
OPE
5 - 1
PRA
52%
24%
24%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
OPE
3 - 1
TIR
43%
27%
31%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
LOU
2 - 4
OPE
39%
26%
35%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
OPE
4 - 2
ALJ
70%
19%
11%
|
47 | 31 | 16 | 0 |