Lusitano VRSA vs Moura analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.9%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
35.1%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitano VRSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
FCB
2 - 0
LUS
56%
23%
21%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
ALM
1 - 2
LUS
45%
22%
33%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
LUS
4 - 1
FCC
64%
19%
17%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
LOU
0 - 1
LUS
59%
22%
19%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
COV
2 - 1
LUS
60%
22%
17%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Moura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
MOU
2 - 0
ALM
66%
20%
14%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
FCC
2 - 3
MOU
27%
27%
46%
|
47 | 31 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
MOU
4 - 2
LOU
48%
26%
26%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +2 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
COV
1 - 0
MOU
55%
25%
20%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
MOU
1 - 2
ANG
46%
24%
29%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -1 |