Lusitano VRSA vs Monte Trigo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.9%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.5%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.9%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
6%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.7%
5.4%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitano VRSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
FCC
1 - 2
LUS
15%
22%
64%
|
57 | 26 | 31 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
LUS
1 - 2
MOU
78%
15%
7%
|
57 | 37 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
UNI
2 - 1
LUS
17%
23%
61%
|
57 | 34 | 23 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1950 |
EST
10 - 0
LUS
85%
9%
6%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | -4 |
| 30 Apr. 1950 |
LUS
1 - 1
OLH
42%
23%
35%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Monte Trigo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
MON
2 - 3
SES
28%
24%
48%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
VAS
3 - 1
MON
72%
17%
12%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
MON
0 - 1
ALJ
26%
23%
51%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | 0 |