Lusitano VRSA vs Moncarapachense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.9%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.7%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
15.8%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitano VRSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
MOU
2 - 0
LUS
53%
25%
22%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
LUS
2 - 0
OPE
34%
25%
41%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | +2 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
LOU
2 - 1
LUS
59%
22%
18%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
LUS
1 - 0
ALM
53%
23%
24%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
LUS
1 - 2
49%
22%
29%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Moncarapachense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
MON
0 - 0
IDE
28%
22%
51%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2018 |
MON
1 - 3
MOU
25%
22%
53%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | -2 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
EVN
3 - 1
MON
49%
22%
29%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
MON
2 - 0
CAS
14%
23%
63%
|
26 | 49 | 23 | +6 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
PIN
1 - 1
MON
80%
13%
7%
|
25 | 43 | 18 | +1 |