Lusitano VRSA vs Louletano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.7%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
28%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitano VRSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
COV
2 - 2
LUS
64%
21%
15%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
LUS
2 - 0
JUV
65%
18%
16%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
ATL
1 - 4
LUS
53%
24%
22%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
LUS
0 - 1
PIN
45%
23%
33%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
LUS
1 - 6
MOU
38%
27%
35%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
Louletano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
LOU
2 - 0
ALM
51%
24%
25%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
FCC
2 - 3
LOU
34%
24%
43%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
FCB
2 - 0
LOU
59%
23%
19%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
LOU
0 - 1
COV
27%
24%
49%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
LOU
2 - 3
JUV
68%
18%
15%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | -1 |