Lusitano VRSA vs Lagos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.2%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.9%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.5%
8.4%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitano VRSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
ATL
1 - 1
LUS
19%
23%
58%
|
56 | 38 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
LUS
0 - 2
JUV
77%
15%
8%
|
57 | 38 | 19 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
LAG
2 - 2
LUS
14%
21%
65%
|
57 | 28 | 29 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
LUS
1 - 6
MON
82%
13%
5%
|
57 | 20 | 37 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
FCC
1 - 2
LUS
15%
22%
64%
|
57 | 26 | 31 | 0 |
Matches
Lagos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
LAG
7 - 2
SES
65%
20%
16%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
VAS
2 - 2
LAG
32%
24%
44%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
LAG
1 - 0
ALJ
60%
21%
19%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
LAG
0 - 0
UNI
52%
23%
26%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
ATL
0 - 0
LAG
51%
23%
27%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |