Lusitano VRSA vs Lagoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.4%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.3%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.7%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.7%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
13%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13%
5.5%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitano VRSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
MON
1 - 0
LUS
14%
22%
65%
|
54 | 23 | 31 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
LUS
2 - 0
FCC
81%
13%
6%
|
53 | 25 | 28 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
MOU
0 - 0
LUS
26%
24%
50%
|
54 | 40 | 14 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
LUS
0 - 1
UNI
75%
16%
9%
|
54 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
SES
3 - 1
LUS
16%
22%
63%
|
55 | 29 | 26 | -1 |
Matches
Lagoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
LAG
1 - 2
SES
30%
24%
46%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
VAS
2 - 0
LAG
59%
21%
20%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
LAG
2 - 4
ALJ
32%
24%
44%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Dec. 2012 |
LAG
5 - 1
LAG
74%
16%
10%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
ATL
3 - 0
LAG
70%
18%
12%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | -1 |