Lusitano VRSA vs Ideal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.3%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
22.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitano VRSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
EVN
1 - 2
LUS
34%
22%
45%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
LUS
0 - 4
CAS
20%
26%
54%
|
37 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
LUS
3 - 0
PIN
17%
24%
59%
|
33 | 48 | 15 | +4 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
MON
1 - 0
LUS
37%
22%
41%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
LUS
0 - 0
MOU
34%
25%
41%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Ideal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
OLH
2 - 0
IDE
73%
17%
10%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
IDE
0 - 1
EVN
65%
18%
17%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
IDE
1 - 2
CAS
19%
26%
55%
|
37 | 51 | 14 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
PIN
2 - 1
IDE
63%
21%
16%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
IDE
0 - 1
MON
73%
16%
12%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | -1 |