Lusitano VRSA vs Ferreiras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
26.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitano VRSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
QUA
0 - 1
LUS
31%
24%
45%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
LUS
0 - 1
PRA
49%
24%
28%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
ALJ
3 - 3
LUS
33%
24%
43%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
LUS
3 - 1
ANG
37%
25%
38%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | +2 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
MOU
1 - 0
LUS
52%
23%
25%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Ferreiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
FER
1 - 2
ANG
35%
26%
40%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
FER
0 - 0
QUA
54%
23%
23%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
MOU
1 - 0
FER
53%
23%
24%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
FER
2 - 0
PRA
37%
24%
39%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | +2 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
ATL
2 - 2
FER
35%
24%
41%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |