Lusitano VRSA vs FC Castrense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.1%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
16.9%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitano VRSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
LOU
0 - 1
LUS
59%
22%
19%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
COV
2 - 1
LUS
60%
22%
17%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
LUS
0 - 2
COV
32%
25%
43%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | -2 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
JUV
2 - 1
LUS
12%
17%
71%
|
42 | 20 | 22 | -2 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
LUS
2 - 0
MON
62%
20%
18%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
FC Castrense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
FCC
1 - 1
ALM
35%
23%
42%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
FCC
0 - 5
FAM
12%
19%
69%
|
33 | 59 | 26 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
FCC
1 - 2
FCB
27%
22%
51%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
LOU
1 - 2
FCC
69%
19%
12%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
FCC
2 - 0
VAS
51%
23%
27%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | +2 |