Lusitano VRSA vs FC Castrense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.6%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.2%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.5%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.4%
6.1%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitano VRSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
MOU
0 - 0
LUS
26%
24%
50%
|
54 | 40 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
LUS
0 - 1
UNI
75%
16%
9%
|
54 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
SES
3 - 1
LUS
16%
22%
63%
|
55 | 29 | 26 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
LUS
2 - 2
VAS
80%
14%
6%
|
55 | 27 | 28 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
ALJ
1 - 0
LUS
14%
22%
64%
|
55 | 30 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
FC Castrense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
FCC
1 - 1
SES
37%
24%
39%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2012 |
VAS
2 - 1
FCC
54%
22%
24%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
ALJ
0 - 1
FCC
61%
21%
18%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
FCC
0 - 1
LAG
25%
24%
52%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
ATL
3 - 1
FCC
69%
18%
13%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | -1 |